Overreach: how china derailed its peaceful rise - susan l. shirk

For decades, Chinas rise to power was characterized by its reassurance that this rise would be peaceful.

Then, as Susan L.

Shirk, shows in this sobering, clear-eyed account of China today, something changed.

For three decades after Maos death in 1976, Chinas leaders adopted a restrained approach to foreign policy.

They determined that any threat to their power, and that of the Chinese Communist Party, came not from abroad but from within--a conclusion cemented by the 1989 Tiananmen crisis.

To facilitate the countrys inexorable economic ascendence, and to prevent a backlash, they reassured the outside world of Chinas peaceful intentions.

Then, as Susan Shirk shows in this illuminating, disturbing, and utterly persuasive new book, something changed.

China went from fragile superpower to global heavyweight, threatening Taiwan as well as its neighbors in the South China Sea, tightening its grip on Hong Kong, and openly challenging the United States for preeminence not just economically and technologically but militarily.

China began to overreach.

Combining her decades of research and experience, Shirk, one of the worlds most respected experts on Chinese politics, argues that we are now fully embroiled in a new cold war.

To explain what happened, Shirk pries open the black box of Chinas political system and looks at what derailed its peaceful rise.

As she shows, the shift toward confrontation began in the mid-2000s under the mild-mannered Hu Jintao, first among equals in a collective leadership.

As Chinas economy boomed, especially after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, Hu and the other leaders lost restraint, abetting aggression toward the outside world and unchecked domestic social control.

When Xi Jinping took power in 2012, he capitalized on widespread official corruption and open splits in the leadership to make the case for more concentrated power at the top.

In the decade following, and to the present day--the eve of the 20th CCP Congress when he intends to claim a third term--he has accumulated greater power than any leader since Mao.

Those who implement Xis directives compete to outdo one another, provoking an even greater global backlash and stoking jingoism within China on a scale not seen since the Cultural Revolution.

Here is a devastatingly lucid portrait of China today.

Shirks extensive interviews and meticulous analysis reveal the dynamics driving overreach.

To counter it, she argues, the worst mistake the rest of the world,.